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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.49+4.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.18vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+5.68vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.60+5.13vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+3.04vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11+5.16vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-1.07vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.65+0.71vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.83-0.65vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45-0.49vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51-1.46vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.74+0.26vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.38+0.55vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.20-3.19vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-7.97vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.62-6.94vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.50-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.18Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.68Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.13Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.04Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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5.93Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.71Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.51Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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12.26Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.55Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.06Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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9.53Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 14.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| John Mastrandrea | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Crew Fritsch | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 18.5% |
| Anthony Root | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 35.1% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 7.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Noah Simmons | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.