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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+8.14vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+3.83vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+3.30vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.83+4.22vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.49+0.57vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.60+3.22vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.45+2.70vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69+0.52vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65+0.06vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.81-1.89vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.11+0.10vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.62-3.03vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.50-3.42vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.20-3.22vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-7.96vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.38-2.47vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.74-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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5.83Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.3Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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5.57Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.22Brown University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.7Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.1University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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8.97Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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9.58Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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13.53Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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12.34Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crew Fritsch | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| John Mastrandrea | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% |
| Noah Simmons | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Anthony Root | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 33.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.