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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+5.92vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.69+6.56vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+3.27vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.20+6.66vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.49+0.60vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.65+3.03vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.11+3.94vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-2.16vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.83-0.67vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.81-1.94vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.74+1.39vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.50-2.57vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51-3.42vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.60-4.79vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.62-6.03vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.45-6.31vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.38-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.27Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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5.6Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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5.84Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.06Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.39Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.43Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.0%1st Place
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9.21Brown University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.97Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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9.69Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.52Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 13.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 8.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 21.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Crew Fritsch | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| John Mastrandrea | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Noah Simmons | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Anthony Root | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 16.9% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.