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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.81+6.99vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.65+6.78vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.83+5.12vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.14vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+3.48vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33+0.43vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.74+5.31vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.49-2.38vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.42-2.91vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.50-0.67vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51-1.45vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-2.37vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.11-1.91vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.62-4.78vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.38-1.58vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.60-6.88vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.20-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.78Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.31Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.62Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.09Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.0%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.09University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.22Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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13.42Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.12Brown University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 18.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Crew Fritsch | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% |
| Noah Simmons | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Anthony Root | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 34.4% |
| John Mastrandrea | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.