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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+4.97vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.60+6.10vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+5.43vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.65+3.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.42+0.07vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.69+1.67vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.83+0.03vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.50+0.67vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.62-1.18vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.38+2.50vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.74+0.30vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.20-2.20vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.81-5.64vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.11-4.03vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.45-6.27vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.49-11.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.1Brown University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.0%1st Place
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8.71Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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6.07Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.67Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.03Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.82Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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13.5Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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12.3Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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8.36Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.73Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.74Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| John Mastrandrea | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Crew Fritsch | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Noah Simmons | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Anthony Root | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 37.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 18.5% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.