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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.07vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.60+6.99vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.49+2.67vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.83+4.17vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+1.92vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.42+0.11vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.62+2.00vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+1.22vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.50+0.67vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.81-1.91vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.69-2.19vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.65-3.16vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.45-3.16vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.20-3.20vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.74-2.71vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.11-4.99vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.38-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.99Brown University2.600.0%1st Place
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5.67Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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6.11Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.0Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.09Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.81Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.84Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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9.84Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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12.29Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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13.52Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Noah Simmons | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Crew Fritsch | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 19.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% |
| Anthony Root | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 15.4% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.