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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.62+7.77vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+3.79vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.60+6.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.11vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+3.47vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.81+2.40vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.83+1.16vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50+1.20vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65+0.07vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.74+2.27vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.49-5.18vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.11-1.03vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51-3.45vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.33-7.64vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-5.35vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.38-2.38vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.20-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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5.79Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.09Brown University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.4Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.2Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.07Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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12.27Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.82Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.0%1st Place
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6.36Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.65Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.62Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Simmons | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| John Mastrandrea | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 17.9% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% |
| Crew Fritsch | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| Anthony Root | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 34.3% |
| Christian Moffitt | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.