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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.83+6.97vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.81+6.17vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.62+6.01vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+5.48vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.69+3.47vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.49-0.18vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-1.12vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.65+0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.11+2.21vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45-0.51vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.33-4.60vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.20-1.39vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.50-3.39vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.60-4.76vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-7.99vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.74-3.56vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.38-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.01Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.82Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.88Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.49Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.4Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island2.200.0%1st Place
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9.61Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.24Brown University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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12.44Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.51Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Noah Simmons | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Crew Fritsch | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 9.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Christian Moffitt | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| John Mastrandrea | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 16.0% | 19.4% |
| Anthony Root | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.