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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+3.26vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.50+2.05vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.40vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.11+0.85vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.25-0.41vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.24vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43-2.75vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.05Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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4.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.85Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.59Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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4.76U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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4.83Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% |
| Daisy Holthus | 15.5% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 13.7% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 16.8% |
| Marley Mais | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.7% |
| Jessica McJones | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 17.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 8.6% |
| Grace Howie | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.