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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.16+2.55vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.44+2.23vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.21-0.19vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-0.73vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.73vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.52-0.34vs Predicted
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7Fordham University-0.32-1.49vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.97-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55University of Pennsylvania1.1616.7%1st Place
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4.23Columbia University0.4411.5%1st Place
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2.81Cornell University1.2126.3%1st Place
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3.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9220.4%1st Place
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4.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.2910.5%1st Place
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5.66SUNY Maritime College-0.526.2%1st Place
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5.51Fordham University-0.325.9%1st Place
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6.7Princeton University-0.972.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 16.7% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Gilda Dondona | 26.3% | 24.1% | 19.1% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Deana Fedulova | 20.4% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 3.6% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 24.4% | 21.1% |
| Anna Robertson | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 24.4% | 16.9% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 18.8% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.