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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+3.24vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.40vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+1.86vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.24vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.50-0.94vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.25-1.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.19vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.86Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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4.06Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.53Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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4.81U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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4.86Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% |
| Sebby Turner | 11.1% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 16.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 13.6% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.9% |
| Daisy Holthus | 13.7% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 7.4% |
| Marley Mais | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 13.8% |
| Jessica McJones | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 16.1% |
| Grace Howie | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.