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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.11+3.78vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.41vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+1.36vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.25+0.58vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.50-0.95vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.18vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.36George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.58Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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4.05Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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4.82U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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4.85Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebby Turner | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 15.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 12.6% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 14.7% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 9.5% |
| Marley Mais | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.2% |
| Daisy Holthus | 14.2% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% |
| Jessica McJones | 11.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 16.1% |
| Grace Howie | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.