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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.11+3.77vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.50+2.04vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+1.36vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.25+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.78vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.65vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.04-2.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.04Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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4.36George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.6Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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4.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.0Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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4.65U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebby Turner | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 15.4% |
| Daisy Holthus | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 14.6% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 9.6% |
| Marley Mais | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 12.5% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% |
| Katherine Cox | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% |
| Grace Howie | 10.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 20.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.