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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.82+3.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.22+4.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.90+1.68vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.28+2.81vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.43+4.85vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.09+1.70vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+0.87vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.67+0.90vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.57+0.65vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.52-0.46vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.37-0.64vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.14-0.92vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.85-4.53vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.59-4.49vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.69-2.34vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.99-4.26vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.73-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Yale University2.820.2%1st Place
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6.84Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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4.68Yale University2.900.2%1st Place
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6.81Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.85Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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7.7Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.9Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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9.65Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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11.08Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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8.47Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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9.51Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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12.66Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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11.74Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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12.58Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan DiMarchi | 17.3% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 16.0% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Martin Tipton | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| William O'Leary | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
| Lera Anders | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Petru Neagu | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Madeline Simms | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 24.2% |
| Elena Gonick | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 13.4% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.