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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.82+3.82vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.90+2.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.09+4.50vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.22+2.97vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.85+3.28vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.43+4.16vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.28-0.23vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98-0.26vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.59+0.52vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.57-0.69vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.99+0.72vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.67-2.94vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.52-3.23vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.37-3.64vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.14-3.88vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.69-3.26vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.73-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Yale University2.820.2%1st Place
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4.6Yale University2.900.2%1st Place
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7.5Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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6.97Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.28Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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10.16Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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6.77Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.52Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.31Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.72Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.06Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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11.12Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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12.74Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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12.57Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan DiMarchi | 16.9% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 16.8% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Nicholas Davies | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Petru Neagu | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| Elena Gonick | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 14.4% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| William O'Leary | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% |
| Lera Anders | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% |
| Madeline Simms | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 23.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.