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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.82+3.81vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.67+6.95vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.09+4.43vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.90+0.75vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.28+1.60vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.22+1.13vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.37+3.19vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.57+1.28vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.43+1.20vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.59-0.75vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.85-2.49vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.98-4.12vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.73-0.31vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.52-4.15vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.99-3.38vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.14-4.84vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.69-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81Yale University2.820.2%1st Place
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8.95Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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7.43Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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4.75Yale University2.900.2%1st Place
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6.6Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.13Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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10.19Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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9.28Yale University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.2Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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9.25Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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8.51Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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12.69Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.62Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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11.16Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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12.72Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan DiMarchi | 17.6% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 15.4% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| William O'Leary | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Martin Tipton | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| Petru Neagu | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 22.3% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Elena Gonick | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 15.1% |
| Lera Anders | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% |
| Madeline Simms | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.