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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+6.66vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.90+2.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.28+3.73vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.82+0.98vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.57+4.26vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.22+1.16vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.85+1.38vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.43+1.80vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.09-1.38vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.37+0.13vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.52-1.18vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.99-0.38vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.14-1.75vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.67-4.75vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.69-2.38vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.73-3.35vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.59-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.57Yale University2.900.2%1st Place
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6.73Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.98Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.26Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.16Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.38Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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9.8Connecticut College1.430.1%1st Place
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7.62Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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10.13Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.62Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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11.25Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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9.25Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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12.62Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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12.65Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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9.48Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Holder | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 16.8% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| William O'Leary | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Elena Gonick | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.9% |
| Lera Anders | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Madeline Simms | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 23.2% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 21.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.