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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.57+2.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.21+4.21vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.68+2.07vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.82+0.75vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.57+3.36vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University0.93+1.34vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.12-0.61vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-3.04vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.65+2.43vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.19-0.53vs Predicted
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11Bentley University1.03-4.02vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.56-3.64vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-1.01-1.00vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Boston University2.570.3%1st Place
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6.21Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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4.75Harvard University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.36Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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7.34Brandeis University0.930.1%1st Place
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6.39Bowdoin College1.120.1%1st Place
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4.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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11.43Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.190.0%1st Place
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6.98Bentley University1.030.1%1st Place
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8.36University of New Hampshire0.560.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 29.0% | 22.0% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Nannig | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Owen Schafer | 11.7% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| SERRA PELIN | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| John Seider | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Julia Wyatt | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 22.4% | 27.9% |
| Addison Stead | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 6.8% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Lisa Olsson | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 19.2% | 42.1% |
| Raymond Huffman | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 21.5% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.