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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.57+2.07vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+2.84vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.21+3.39vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.68+1.09vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.57+3.35vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.82-1.14vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.12-0.62vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.93-0.79vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.56-0.62vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering-0.65+1.44vs Predicted
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11Bentley University1.03-4.00vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.19-2.64vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-1.01-1.02vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Boston University2.570.3%1st Place
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4.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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6.39Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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8.35Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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4.86Harvard University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.38Bowdoin College1.120.1%1st Place
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7.21Brandeis University0.930.1%1st Place
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8.38University of New Hampshire0.560.0%1st Place
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11.44Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.0Bentley University1.030.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.190.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 29.0% | 22.2% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 11.7% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Nannig | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Owen Schafer | 12.0% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Seider | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| SERRA PELIN | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Lisa Olsson | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 22.9% | 27.2% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Addison Stead | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 19.8% | 42.7% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 22.4% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.