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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.57+7.15vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.68+2.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.21+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.56+3.35vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-0.92vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.82-2.43vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University0.93-0.77vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.12-2.28vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.19-0.58vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-1.01+1.15vs Predicted
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12Bentley University1.03-5.04vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-0.65-1.71vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.35-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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2.96Boston University2.570.3%1st Place
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5.08University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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6.44Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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8.35University of New Hampshire0.560.0%1st Place
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5.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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4.57Harvard University1.820.1%1st Place
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7.23Brandeis University0.930.1%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College1.120.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth0.190.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.96Bentley University1.030.1%1st Place
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11.29Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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10.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Palmer | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 28.2% | 23.8% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 10.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Lisa Olsson | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Julia Wyatt | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Schafer | 12.9% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| SERRA PELIN | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| John Seider | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Addison Stead | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 6.0% |
| Colby Brennan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 45.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 24.3% | 25.3% |
| Raymond Huffman | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 21.3% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.