Race 5A

harvard-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Owen Schafer 12.2% 13.6% 13.4% 12.4% 12.0% 7.6% 8.6% 6.3% 4.3% 5.0% 2.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Julia Wyatt 12.1% 13.1% 11.4% 12.0% 11.4% 10.4% 9.7% 6.9% 4.7% 3.2% 3.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.2%
Kyle Nannig 11.2% 12.2% 10.5% 12.4% 10.2% 10.3% 8.7% 7.7% 6.7% 5.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.2%
SERRA PELIN 4.7% 4.1% 7.3% 7.9% 6.6% 8.4% 7.9% 10.5% 10.9% 9.0% 9.3% 7.2% 4.8% 1.4%
Ben Palmer 2.8% 3.4% 4.9% 4.6% 6.9% 6.7% 6.3% 7.2% 10.7% 9.5% 9.7% 11.7% 10.9% 4.7%
Tyler Mowry 25.3% 21.2% 15.8% 12.7% 9.5% 6.7% 4.6% 2.0% 0.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Memoli 6.6% 6.7% 7.9% 6.6% 7.7% 9.6% 10.7% 8.4% 9.5% 9.8% 7.0% 5.9% 2.8% 0.8%
John Seider 6.9% 6.5% 8.4% 7.2% 8.1% 9.5% 9.6% 9.0% 9.5% 7.1% 8.0% 6.0% 3.6% 0.6%
Colin Snow 3.4% 3.2% 3.1% 4.2% 4.8% 5.3% 6.9% 8.7% 8.6% 11.3% 12.6% 12.9% 9.1% 5.9%
Lisa Olsson 3.7% 2.8% 3.7% 4.1% 7.2% 6.9% 7.8% 7.9% 8.5% 9.4% 12.2% 11.6% 10.7% 3.5%
Raymond Huffman 0.8% 2.3% 1.4% 1.5% 2.5% 2.7% 3.4% 5.7% 5.0% 6.7% 7.4% 14.7% 23.4% 22.5%
Addison Stead 2.4% 2.1% 2.6% 4.2% 4.2% 3.8% 4.6% 7.3% 9.8% 9.6% 12.7% 12.4% 14.7% 9.6%
Colby Brennan 1.2% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 2.5% 3.1% 3.7% 5.8% 9.1% 17.8% 49.8%
George Sidamon-Eristoff 6.7% 7.9% 8.6% 9.3% 7.6% 10.6% 9.8% 9.9% 7.8% 9.0% 6.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.