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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.07+2.46vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.34+2.86vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+1.38vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.35+1.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.76-0.78vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.65+0.79vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.13+1.22vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.63-3.63vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.57-2.04vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-1.33+0.81vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.37-1.98vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.61-0.77vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.49-0.63vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-3.31-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Boston University2.070.2%1st Place
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4.86Northeastern University1.340.1%1st Place
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4.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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5.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.350.1%1st Place
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4.22Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University0.650.1%1st Place
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8.22Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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4.37University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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6.96Bowdoin College0.570.1%1st Place
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10.81University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
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9.02Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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11.23University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.490.0%1st Place
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13.25Brandeis University-3.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micky Munns | 22.2% | 19.9% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| sumner strumph | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail VanLonkhuyzen | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 13.3% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dane Phippen | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Edward Gary | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Anderson | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Woodward | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 24.5% | 24.6% | 15.3% | 4.8% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 22.4% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| David Swan | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 10.1% | 20.3% | 28.9% | 19.7% | 7.2% |
| Liam Harkins | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 38.7% | 25.4% |
| Abby Smurzynski | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 8.8% | 21.8% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.