Race 1A

david-van-cleef

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Andrew Ettlemyer 7.8% 11.2% 14.3% 15.7% 14.2% 14.8% 12.1% 7.0% 2.5% 0.4%
Jacob Usher 46.8% 28.4% 14.6% 6.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ashton Loring 17.2% 20.4% 20.0% 16.9% 13.1% 7.2% 3.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 3.8% 4.9% 7.8% 8.4% 12.2% 13.9% 16.5% 16.4% 13.1% 3.1%
John Cole McGee 10.0% 13.2% 15.5% 16.8% 17.2% 12.5% 9.3% 4.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Sebastian Helgesen 4.4% 6.4% 7.8% 10.5% 12.8% 13.9% 16.3% 15.2% 10.3% 2.4%
Camden Hom 5.8% 9.2% 10.9% 14.2% 14.2% 15.0% 13.8% 11.2% 4.9% 0.9%
Sam Lookadoo 1.7% 2.6% 4.0% 4.2% 5.9% 9.7% 12.0% 17.2% 28.4% 14.4%
Tonya Hakim 2.2% 3.0% 3.8% 5.5% 6.3% 9.7% 12.7% 19.9% 25.6% 11.4%
James Nave 0.3% 0.6% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 2.5% 3.5% 7.8% 13.7% 67.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.