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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+3.36vs Predicted
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2Harvard University0.65+4.56vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.35+2.03vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.07-0.52vs Predicted
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5Olin College of Engineering-0.37+4.02vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-1.33+4.84vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.13+1.21vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.63-3.58vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.76-4.82vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.34-4.88vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.57-4.02vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-3.31+1.31vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.61-1.86vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.49-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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6.56Harvard University0.650.1%1st Place
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5.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.350.1%1st Place
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3.48Boston University2.070.2%1st Place
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9.02Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
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8.21Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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4.42University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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4.18Tufts University1.760.2%1st Place
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5.12Northeastern University1.340.1%1st Place
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6.98Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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13.31Brandeis University-3.310.0%1st Place
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11.14University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Scherer | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail VanLonkhuyzen | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 21.3% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 18.5% | 12.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Woodward | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 12.7% | 22.1% | 25.8% | 17.5% | 3.6% |
| Dane Phippen | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 13.6% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Edward Gary | 13.3% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| sumner strumph | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Anderson | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Abby Smurzynski | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 18.2% | 66.1% |
| David Swan | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 19.1% | 29.0% | 20.2% | 6.8% |
| Liam Harkins | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 40.0% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.