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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.07+2.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.35+2.85vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.57+3.83vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.34+1.08vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.76-0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.63-1.52vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-2.75vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.65-1.40vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.13-0.49vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering-0.37-0.95vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-1.33-0.18vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.61-0.76vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-3.31+0.22vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.49-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Boston University2.070.2%1st Place
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4.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.350.1%1st Place
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6.83Bowdoin College0.570.0%1st Place
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5.08Northeastern University1.340.1%1st Place
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4.23Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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4.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.2%1st Place
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6.6Harvard University0.650.1%1st Place
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8.51Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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9.05Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
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11.24University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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13.22Brandeis University-3.310.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micky Munns | 22.9% | 17.4% | 18.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail VanLonkhuyzen | 10.5% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Anderson | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| sumner strumph | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 13.2% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 13.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 15.2% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dane Phippen | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 14.0% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 21.4% | 17.1% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Woodward | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 23.0% | 26.0% | 17.2% | 3.2% |
| David Swan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 20.4% | 27.6% | 21.7% | 6.5% |
| Abby Smurzynski | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 16.5% | 65.8% |
| Liam Harkins | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 18.0% | 38.5% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.