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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.63+3.34vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.76+2.06vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+1.34vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.07-0.58vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.35-0.16vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.57+0.56vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.65-0.63vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.13-0.06vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.34-4.05vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-1.33+0.08vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.61-0.57vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-2.76-0.03vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.49-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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4.06Tufts University1.760.2%1st Place
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4.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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3.42Boston University2.070.2%1st Place
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4.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.350.1%1st Place
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6.56Bowdoin College0.570.1%1st Place
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6.37Harvard University0.650.1%1st Place
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7.94Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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4.95Northeastern University1.340.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
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10.43University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.97Brandeis University-2.760.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Gary | 13.7% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 15.1% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 12.8% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 21.0% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail VanLonkhuyzen | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Anderson | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dane Phippen | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 23.9% | 18.0% | 9.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| sumner strumph | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Woodward | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 23.5% | 28.1% | 17.2% | 6.0% |
| David Swan | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 22.3% | 28.8% | 20.3% | 8.4% |
| Mason Bromberg | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 26.6% | 49.4% |
| Liam Harkins | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 16.4% | 33.2% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.