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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.35+3.85vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.07+1.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.76+1.07vs Predicted
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4Harvard University0.65+2.49vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-0.74vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.57+0.56vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.34-2.17vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.63-3.72vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.13-0.98vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.49+1.60vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-1.33-0.96vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.61-1.41vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-2.76-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.350.1%1st Place
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3.42Boston University2.070.2%1st Place
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4.07Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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6.49Harvard University0.650.1%1st Place
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4.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.2%1st Place
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6.56Bowdoin College0.570.1%1st Place
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4.83Northeastern University1.340.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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8.02Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.490.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
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10.59University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.99Brandeis University-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abigail VanLonkhuyzen | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 21.8% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 13.6% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Kuechler | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Scherer | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Anderson | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| sumner strumph | 11.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dane Phippen | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 26.1% | 20.3% | 8.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Liam Harkins | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 8.8% | 16.6% | 31.9% | 34.2% |
| Sarah Woodward | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 12.3% | 24.3% | 28.3% | 15.1% | 5.0% |
| David Swan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 17.6% | 29.0% | 24.1% | 10.8% |
| Mason Bromberg | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 26.9% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.