Race 1A

cary-price

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sherman Thompson 22.6% 20.5% 18.6% 13.4% 12.2% 7.7% 3.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Patrick Schmidt 20.3% 20.4% 18.6% 16.5% 12.0% 7.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
David Perez 22.6% 20.6% 19.2% 16.0% 11.9% 7.3% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Wolters 10.2% 13.4% 13.8% 17.5% 17.8% 15.1% 8.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Will Davies 13.3% 12.9% 15.7% 18.1% 17.8% 12.7% 5.9% 3.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Emma Turner 6.9% 7.8% 7.8% 9.7% 15.1% 21.4% 19.3% 9.4% 2.3% 0.3%
Chase Ireland 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 4.7% 5.6% 14.5% 26.5% 23.7% 14.4% 4.0%
Collin Kemper 0.3% 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 2.4% 3.5% 7.9% 17.5% 29.7% 36.0%
Joshua Spano 1.4% 1.0% 2.4% 2.3% 3.3% 7.3% 16.7% 27.4% 25.9% 12.3%
Robert Schneider 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 1.9% 2.9% 6.0% 13.6% 26.1% 47.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.