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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.82+3.16vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.53+1.06vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.94+1.02vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.41-0.79vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.20+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.41-2.82vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.76-0.10vs Predicted
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8Mercyhurst University-2.33+0.86vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.37-1.28vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-2.13-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Michigan State University0.820.1%1st Place
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3.06Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
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4.02Northwestern University0.940.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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5.2Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Wisconsin1.410.2%1st Place
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6.9Ohio State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.86Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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7.72Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Wolters | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 22.6% | 21.8% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Davies | 13.1% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 19.3% | 20.6% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 22.6% | 19.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 22.4% | 18.3% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Ireland | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 13.7% | 25.3% | 25.1% | 14.0% | 4.2% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 6.9% | 14.0% | 27.7% | 44.3% |
| Joshua Spano | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 15.3% | 29.7% | 24.6% | 12.7% |
| Collin Kemper | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 15.9% | 29.5% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.