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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.41+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.41+1.23vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.53+0.08vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.82+0.16vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.20+0.22vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.94-2.07vs Predicted
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7Mercyhurst University-2.33+1.98vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.76-1.19vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.37-1.28vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-2.13-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Wisconsin1.410.2%1st Place
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3.23University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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3.08Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
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4.16Michigan State University0.820.1%1st Place
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5.22Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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3.93Northwestern University0.940.1%1st Place
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8.98Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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6.81Ohio State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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7.72Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Schmidt | 21.6% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 19.9% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 22.4% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Wolters | 10.3% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 21.2% | 19.9% | 9.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Will Davies | 14.6% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 14.1% | 28.0% | 47.1% |
| Chase Ireland | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 13.3% | 25.4% | 24.3% | 13.5% | 3.7% |
| Joshua Spano | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 16.7% | 27.0% | 26.5% | 11.9% |
| Collin Kemper | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 18.8% | 29.2% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.