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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.94+2.94vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.53+1.06vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.41+0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.41-0.83vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.82-0.83vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.20-0.75vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.76-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-2.13+0.63vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-1.37-2.28vs Predicted
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11Mercyhurst University-2.33-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Northwestern University0.940.1%1st Place
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3.06Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
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3.22University of Wisconsin1.410.2%1st Place
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3.17University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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4.17Michigan State University0.820.1%1st Place
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5.25Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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6.91Ohio State University-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
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7.72Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.91Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Davies | 14.4% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 22.8% | 22.6% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 19.9% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 20.6% | 19.8% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Wolters | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Turner | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 22.4% | 18.8% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Chase Ireland | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 12.9% | 26.4% | 23.9% | 14.5% | 4.1% |
| Collin Kemper | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 17.3% | 29.8% | 36.0% |
| Joshua Spano | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 16.6% | 28.1% | 25.7% | 12.3% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 13.3% | 26.2% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.