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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.53+1.99vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.82+2.17vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.94+0.99vs Predicted
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4Mercyhurst University-2.33+4.91vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.41-1.84vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.20-0.82vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.97+0.12vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.37-0.34vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.41-5.83vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-2.13-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
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4.17Michigan State University0.820.1%1st Place
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3.99Northwestern University0.940.1%1st Place
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8.91Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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3.16University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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5.18Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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7.12Ohio State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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7.66Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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3.17University of Wisconsin1.410.2%1st Place
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8.64University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perez | 24.2% | 22.9% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Wolters | 11.0% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Will Davies | 13.0% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 26.1% | 46.7% |
| Sherman Thompson | 20.5% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 23.9% | 17.3% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Martin Moore | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 27.1% | 24.5% | 17.0% | 5.2% |
| Joshua Spano | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 16.5% | 28.4% | 24.5% | 11.5% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 20.9% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Kemper | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 17.6% | 29.0% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.