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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.41+2.21vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.53+1.00vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.82+1.21vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.20+1.26vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-2.33+3.80vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.41-2.87vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.97-0.83vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.13-0.38vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.94-6.08vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-1.37-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21University of Wisconsin1.410.2%1st Place
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3.0Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
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4.21Michigan State University0.820.1%1st Place
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5.26Marquette University0.200.0%1st Place
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8.8Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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3.13University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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7.17Ohio State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
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3.92Northwestern University0.940.1%1st Place
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7.68Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Schmidt | 20.1% | 21.5% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 23.0% | 21.5% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Wolters | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 18.3% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 23.0% | 18.0% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 13.9% | 26.6% | 44.4% |
| Sherman Thompson | 21.9% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martin Moore | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 24.4% | 26.2% | 17.2% | 6.2% |
| Collin Kemper | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 8.4% | 17.5% | 28.1% | 36.8% |
| Will Davies | 13.7% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 7.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Spano | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 17.5% | 27.5% | 24.4% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.