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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.41+2.14vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.20+3.24vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.53+0.06vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.94-0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.41-1.82vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.82-1.88vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.37+0.73vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.97-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.13-0.37vs Predicted
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11Mercyhurst University-2.33-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of Wisconsin1.410.2%1st Place
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5.24Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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3.06Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
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3.94Northwestern University0.940.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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4.12Michigan State University0.820.1%1st Place
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7.73Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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7.08Ohio State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
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8.87Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Schmidt | 22.4% | 21.8% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 25.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| David Perez | 22.3% | 20.1% | 20.4% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Davies | 11.9% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 20.0% | 21.0% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Wolters | 12.8% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 8.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Spano | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 17.4% | 28.0% | 24.7% | 12.1% |
| Martin Moore | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 24.8% | 25.8% | 16.5% | 5.7% |
| Collin Kemper | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 30.3% | 35.9% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 7.3% | 15.8% | 24.7% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.