← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Patrick Schmidt 22.4% 21.8% 16.5% 15.7% 11.0% 8.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Turner 6.6% 6.1% 9.3% 9.7% 14.1% 25.9% 17.0% 8.7% 2.3% 0.3%
David Perez 22.3% 20.1% 20.4% 15.5% 12.1% 7.3% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Will Davies 11.9% 14.4% 15.5% 18.4% 18.1% 12.1% 7.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Sherman Thompson 20.0% 21.0% 19.5% 15.6% 13.1% 6.5% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Wolters 12.8% 11.9% 13.5% 16.2% 17.8% 16.7% 8.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Joshua Spano 1.1% 0.8% 1.5% 2.6% 4.2% 7.6% 17.4% 28.0% 24.7% 12.1%
Martin Moore 1.6% 2.5% 2.7% 4.3% 6.1% 10.0% 24.8% 25.8% 16.5% 5.7%
Collin Kemper 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 1.3% 1.8% 3.2% 9.2% 16.2% 30.3% 35.9%
Robert Schneider 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 7.3% 15.8% 24.7% 46.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.