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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.53+1.99vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.94+1.96vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.82+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.41-0.83vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.41-1.85vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.20-0.82vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.97+0.16vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-2.13+0.60vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.37-1.31vs Predicted
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10Mercyhurst University-2.33-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99Jacksonville University1.530.3%1st Place
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3.96Northwestern University0.940.1%1st Place
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4.23Michigan State University0.820.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Wisconsin1.410.2%1st Place
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3.15University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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5.18Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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7.16Ohio State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
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7.69Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.88Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perez | 25.4% | 21.2% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Davies | 12.8% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Wolters | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 19.6% | 21.4% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 20.4% | 21.0% | 19.8% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 23.5% | 17.4% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Martin Moore | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 26.0% | 24.5% | 17.3% | 6.2% |
| Collin Kemper | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 8.7% | 17.4% | 29.4% | 35.1% |
| Joshua Spano | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 16.5% | 28.5% | 24.9% | 11.6% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 13.8% | 25.6% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.