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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.41+1.84vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.82+1.85vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.53-0.29vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.20+0.93vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.71-1.00vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.28-1.27vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.97+0.01vs Predicted
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8Mercyhurst University-2.33+0.76vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-1.37-2.46vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-2.13-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84University of Wisconsin1.410.3%1st Place
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3.85Michigan State University0.820.1%1st Place
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2.71Jacksonville University1.530.3%1st Place
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4.93Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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4.0Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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7.01Ohio State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.76Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
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7.54Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Schmidt | 27.6% | 22.7% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Wolters | 13.2% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 27.4% | 24.7% | 19.6% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Moore | 12.1% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Martin Moore | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 22.9% | 23.3% | 16.6% | 6.5% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 15.0% | 25.9% | 43.5% |
| Joshua Spano | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 17.3% | 26.2% | 23.7% | 11.6% |
| Collin Kemper | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 15.3% | 28.7% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.