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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.53+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.41+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.28+1.85vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.97+2.96vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.82-1.22vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.71-1.99vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.20-2.06vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.37-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.13-0.42vs Predicted
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10Mercyhurst University-2.33-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Jacksonville University1.530.3%1st Place
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2.88University of Wisconsin1.410.2%1st Place
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4.85University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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6.96Ohio State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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3.78Michigan State University0.820.1%1st Place
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4.01Northwestern University0.710.1%1st Place
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4.94Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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7.51Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
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8.82Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perez | 29.9% | 25.2% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 24.8% | 23.1% | 19.3% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 15.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Martin Moore | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 20.7% | 26.9% | 14.5% | 5.9% |
| Noah Wolters | 14.3% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Moore | 12.4% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 5.7% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 14.2% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Spano | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 26.8% | 22.5% | 12.4% |
| Collin Kemper | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 30.5% | 35.7% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 26.6% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.