Race 11A

cary-price

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
David Perez 29.2% 25.4% 17.0% 13.0% 7.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Schmidt 25.4% 22.1% 19.6% 14.5% 10.2% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Mitchell Moore 12.0% 12.7% 15.3% 16.9% 17.7% 13.1% 9.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Noah Wolters 12.1% 15.5% 17.8% 17.8% 15.6% 11.5% 7.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Emma Turner 8.1% 9.1% 9.4% 12.1% 17.3% 18.7% 14.6% 7.8% 2.5% 0.4%
Sarah Youtt 8.5% 9.4% 11.9% 13.2% 15.4% 17.8% 13.6% 8.6% 1.5% 0.1%
Chase Ireland 2.2% 2.8% 4.0% 6.7% 7.3% 13.5% 23.9% 23.5% 12.8% 3.3%
Joshua Spano 1.4% 1.5% 3.4% 3.1% 3.9% 9.1% 14.3% 26.8% 23.6% 12.9%
Collin Kemper 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 2.1% 3.6% 7.3% 15.3% 30.8% 36.9%
Robert Schneider 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 3.0% 2.2% 6.0% 12.5% 27.1% 46.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.