Race 12A

cary-price

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
David Perez 29.3% 24.1% 17.8% 13.6% 7.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Mitchell Moore 11.9% 13.8% 15.6% 15.4% 16.9% 14.2% 8.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Emma Turner 7.7% 7.5% 9.8% 12.3% 15.2% 19.6% 17.6% 8.0% 2.3% 0.0%
Noah Wolters 11.7% 15.6% 16.8% 17.8% 17.4% 12.0% 6.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Chase Ireland 3.1% 4.4% 4.8% 6.0% 6.5% 13.7% 21.3% 24.9% 11.6% 3.7%
Sarah Youtt 8.8% 9.3% 11.8% 12.6% 17.7% 16.6% 13.7% 7.5% 1.6% 0.4%
Collin Kemper 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 2.5% 3.5% 5.9% 15.6% 32.1% 37.5%
Patrick Schmidt 25.4% 22.7% 18.6% 16.8% 9.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Spano 1.0% 1.7% 3.0% 3.4% 4.6% 7.8% 15.8% 25.7% 24.6% 12.4%
Robert Schneider 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 2.1% 3.3% 6.8% 12.6% 26.3% 45.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.