Race 1B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chris Kiener 53.1% 29.5% 12.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Lively 21.8% 32.0% 28.3% 13.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Nemeth 16.5% 25.8% 34.3% 16.3% 5.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Ferrey 0.9% 1.4% 3.3% 8.1% 14.1% 18.0% 21.8% 16.6% 11.6% 4.2%
Hosni Berker 1.9% 2.1% 3.6% 8.3% 12.7% 16.8% 21.1% 17.2% 12.8% 3.5%
Etain McKinney 2.3% 3.9% 7.3% 16.5% 21.3% 21.4% 14.4% 9.2% 3.4% 0.3%
natalie dugan 2.2% 4.3% 7.6% 23.4% 25.5% 19.2% 11.1% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Gretchen Evan 0.3% 0.4% 1.1% 3.6% 7.5% 8.4% 11.1% 19.4% 27.6% 20.6%
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto 0.9% 0.3% 1.2% 4.5% 6.3% 9.2% 15.3% 20.7% 23.5% 18.1%
Ashley DiMarzo 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 2.0% 3.2% 4.6% 4.8% 11.7% 19.8% 53.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.