Race 2B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chris Kiener 53.5% 29.0% 12.0% 4.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Lively 21.7% 32.0% 29.8% 12.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Nemeth 16.8% 25.3% 34.2% 17.2% 4.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Etain McKinney 1.7% 3.2% 5.3% 18.3% 22.7% 21.1% 14.3% 9.7% 2.9% 0.8%
natalie dugan 3.2% 5.6% 9.4% 21.4% 25.0% 18.0% 10.7% 5.1% 1.1% 0.5%
Catherine Ferrey 0.8% 2.9% 3.3% 8.0% 13.9% 18.1% 18.9% 17.6% 12.3% 4.2%
Hosni Berker 1.0% 1.0% 2.7% 9.0% 14.5% 18.3% 19.6% 18.5% 11.2% 4.2%
Gretchen Evan 0.4% 0.4% 1.3% 3.1% 6.4% 9.2% 13.1% 17.1% 28.5% 20.5%
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto 0.8% 0.3% 1.7% 3.7% 6.5% 9.4% 15.0% 21.9% 23.4% 17.3%
Ashley DiMarzo 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 1.7% 2.9% 3.7% 7.9% 10.0% 20.6% 52.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.