Race 3B

cary-price

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chris Kiener 54.4% 29.2% 12.1% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Nemeth 16.7% 26.4% 32.8% 17.5% 4.8% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Lively 21.3% 31.2% 29.8% 13.4% 3.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hosni Berker 0.6% 1.7% 2.6% 8.9% 12.9% 18.1% 21.2% 17.9% 12.7% 3.4%
Ashley DiMarzo 0.3% 0.2% 0.9% 1.9% 3.1% 4.8% 7.9% 10.4% 18.3% 52.2%
Etain McKinney 2.4% 4.3% 7.4% 15.8% 22.0% 19.1% 15.2% 9.6% 3.4% 0.8%
natalie dugan 2.4% 4.1% 8.6% 23.3% 24.9% 18.0% 11.7% 5.0% 1.5% 0.5%
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto 0.3% 0.4% 1.9% 4.0% 8.1% 10.4% 13.3% 19.0% 25.9% 16.7%
Catherine Ferrey 1.3% 1.9% 2.7% 8.2% 13.5% 19.3% 18.1% 19.4% 12.1% 3.5%
Gretchen Evan 0.3% 0.6% 1.2% 3.4% 6.5% 8.1% 12.3% 18.6% 26.1% 22.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.