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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jacob Usher 47.3% 27.1% 15.3% 6.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Ettlemyer 7.5% 10.5% 13.9% 17.6% 17.0% 14.1% 10.6% 6.5% 2.1% 0.3%
John Cole McGee 9.4% 14.1% 16.4% 16.5% 14.5% 13.9% 8.9% 4.5% 1.5% 0.1%
Ashton Loring 17.0% 20.2% 20.3% 17.2% 12.0% 6.7% 4.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 3.8% 5.3% 7.8% 9.2% 10.8% 13.9% 16.7% 17.8% 11.1% 3.8%
Tonya Hakim 2.1% 2.9% 4.4% 4.6% 6.7% 9.8% 13.2% 19.1% 25.8% 11.6%
Sam Lookadoo 2.1% 2.3% 3.5% 3.9% 5.9% 7.8% 10.9% 17.9% 28.5% 17.1%
Camden Hom 5.6% 9.7% 9.4% 12.8% 15.8% 14.7% 14.1% 11.2% 5.9% 0.8%
Sebastian Helgesen 4.5% 6.9% 7.8% 10.4% 12.5% 16.1% 16.6% 14.4% 9.1% 1.7%
James Nave 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 4.2% 6.8% 15.8% 64.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.