← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.53+0.94vs Predicted
-
2University of South Carolina-0.41+2.57vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina-0.13+1.23vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University0.12-0.65vs Predicted
-
5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56+1.08vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.77+1.24vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina-1.93+0.56vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel-0.63-2.79vs Predicted
-
9University of Georgia-1.02-3.27vs Predicted
-
10College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.94North Carolina State University1.5347.3%1st Place
-
4.57University of South Carolina-0.417.5%1st Place
-
4.23University of North Carolina-0.139.4%1st Place
-
3.35Clemson University0.1217.0%1st Place
-
6.08Georgia Institute of Technology-0.563.8%1st Place
-
7.24University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.772.1%1st Place
-
7.56University of South Carolina-1.932.1%1st Place
-
5.21The Citadel-0.635.6%1st Place
-
5.73University of Georgia-1.024.5%1st Place
-
9.08College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jacob Usher | 47.3% | 27.1% | 15.3% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Andrew Ettlemyer | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
John Cole McGee | 9.4% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Ashton Loring | 17.0% | 20.2% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 11.1% | 3.8% |
Tonya Hakim | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 25.8% | 11.6% |
Sam Lookadoo | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 28.5% | 17.1% |
Camden Hom | 5.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
Sebastian Helgesen | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 1.7% |
James Nave | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 15.8% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.