Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chris Kiener 53.3% 29.2% 11.9% 4.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Lively 21.8% 32.0% 29.9% 12.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Nemeth 16.7% 25.6% 33.3% 17.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
natalie dugan 2.6% 4.1% 7.9% 24.6% 23.4% 19.8% 11.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
Etain McKinney 2.6% 4.0% 7.4% 15.2% 23.1% 20.3% 15.7% 7.9% 3.2% 0.6%
Catherine Ferrey 0.8% 2.9% 3.3% 8.0% 13.5% 17.7% 19.5% 19.0% 10.8% 4.5%
Hosni Berker 0.9% 1.1% 2.8% 9.5% 13.7% 18.4% 20.7% 16.3% 12.6% 4.0%
Ashley DiMarzo 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 1.3% 3.5% 4.3% 6.8% 12.4% 17.9% 52.8%
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto 0.8% 0.3% 1.6% 3.9% 7.0% 9.1% 14.1% 22.4% 24.7% 16.1%
Gretchen Evan 0.3% 0.6% 1.3% 3.7% 6.0% 8.2% 11.6% 17.6% 29.2% 21.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.