Race 5B

cary-price

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chris Kiener 53.4% 29.1% 11.9% 4.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Lively 21.8% 32.2% 29.6% 12.4% 3.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Nemeth 16.7% 25.6% 33.4% 17.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
natalie dugan 2.5% 4.1% 8.2% 24.9% 23.5% 18.0% 11.6% 5.4% 1.3% 0.5%
Etain McKinney 2.6% 4.0% 7.6% 14.9% 22.5% 22.4% 13.3% 9.0% 2.9% 0.8%
Catherine Ferrey 0.8% 2.9% 3.4% 7.7% 14.0% 17.3% 19.5% 17.8% 12.4% 4.2%
Hosni Berker 0.9% 1.1% 2.6% 9.6% 14.5% 17.9% 20.4% 17.4% 11.4% 4.2%
Gretchen Evan 0.4% 0.4% 1.3% 3.3% 6.3% 9.0% 13.2% 17.3% 28.4% 20.4%
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto 0.8% 0.3% 1.6% 3.9% 6.8% 9.2% 14.3% 22.2% 23.4% 17.5%
Ashley DiMarzo 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 1.7% 2.8% 4.0% 7.3% 10.8% 20.2% 52.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.