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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.01+1.71vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.12-0.32vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.24-0.51vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.80+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-2.56+2.65vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-3.46+2.84vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.80-0.42vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.11-2.52vs Predicted
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9Mercyhurst University-2.73-1.01vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.79-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Northwestern University1.010.2%1st Place
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1.68Jacksonville University2.120.5%1st Place
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2.49University of Wisconsin1.240.2%1st Place
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5.05Ohio State University-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Notre Dame-2.560.0%1st Place
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8.84Western Michigan University-3.460.0%1st Place
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6.58Michigan State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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5.48Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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7.99Mercyhurst University-2.730.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Michigan-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Nemeth | 19.1% | 26.4% | 31.4% | 15.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kiener | 53.2% | 30.5% | 11.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lively | 21.0% | 31.0% | 30.7% | 13.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| natalie dugan | 2.0% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 22.0% | 24.4% | 19.9% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 20.6% | 26.0% | 15.7% |
| Ashley DiMarzo | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 19.7% | 52.6% |
| Hosni Berker | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 9.4% | 4.9% |
| Etain McKinney | 1.6% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 17.9% | 20.9% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Gretchen Evan | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 19.5% | 26.9% | 22.0% |
| Catherine Ferrey | 0.7% | 1.2% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.