← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lillian Nemeth 18.4% 25.9% 31.7% 16.4% 5.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Kiener 51.9% 30.2% 13.8% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
natalie dugan 2.1% 5.3% 9.5% 21.0% 24.1% 19.9% 11.7% 5.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Etain McKinney 1.9% 2.3% 5.8% 19.6% 21.8% 20.8% 14.1% 9.4% 3.5% 0.8%
Michael Lively 22.3% 31.7% 29.6% 11.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hosni Berker 1.0% 2.0% 3.3% 9.7% 13.6% 17.8% 21.1% 14.8% 12.8% 3.9%
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 3.3% 7.4% 9.3% 15.6% 20.3% 25.5% 16.4%
Ashley DiMarzo 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 1.6% 3.9% 3.5% 7.6% 11.4% 17.7% 53.5%
Gretchen Evan 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 3.6% 5.3% 8.1% 11.7% 18.9% 28.7% 21.4%
Catherine Ferrey 0.8% 1.3% 3.9% 9.2% 14.2% 18.3% 17.9% 19.7% 10.9% 3.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.