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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.01+1.71vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.12-0.30vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.80+2.00vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.11+1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.24-2.54vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.80+0.49vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-2.56+0.76vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-3.46-0.12vs Predicted
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10Mercyhurst University-2.73-2.00vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-1.79-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Northwestern University1.010.2%1st Place
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1.7Jacksonville University2.120.5%1st Place
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5.0Ohio State University-0.800.0%1st Place
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5.5Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
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2.46University of Wisconsin1.240.2%1st Place
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6.49Michigan State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.76University of Notre Dame-2.560.0%1st Place
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8.88Western Michigan University-3.460.0%1st Place
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8.0Mercyhurst University-2.730.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Michigan-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillian Nemeth | 18.4% | 25.9% | 31.7% | 16.4% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kiener | 51.9% | 30.2% | 13.8% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| natalie dugan | 2.1% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 21.0% | 24.1% | 19.9% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Etain McKinney | 1.9% | 2.3% | 5.8% | 19.6% | 21.8% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Michael Lively | 22.3% | 31.7% | 29.6% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hosni Berker | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 21.1% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 3.9% |
| Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 25.5% | 16.4% |
| Ashley DiMarzo | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 53.5% |
| Gretchen Evan | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 18.9% | 28.7% | 21.4% |
| Catherine Ferrey | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 19.7% | 10.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.