Race 8B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Lively 22.8% 32.6% 26.0% 13.2% 3.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chris Kiener 52.8% 31.2% 12.7% 2.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Nemeth 17.4% 23.6% 34.0% 17.9% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
natalie dugan 2.3% 3.9% 9.5% 22.2% 25.9% 18.1% 11.7% 4.9% 1.1% 0.4%
Hosni Berker 1.2% 2.0% 4.7% 9.3% 12.2% 16.0% 21.8% 17.3% 11.8% 3.7%
Catherine Ferrey 0.7% 2.3% 4.0% 7.9% 14.5% 18.2% 18.8% 17.8% 12.3% 3.5%
Etain McKinney 2.0% 2.3% 5.8% 17.8% 23.0% 21.5% 15.1% 9.0% 2.8% 0.7%
Gretchen Evan 0.3% 0.5% 1.5% 3.2% 6.6% 8.8% 11.9% 20.0% 25.9% 21.3%
Ashley DiMarzo 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 2.8% 4.3% 5.8% 10.4% 20.0% 54.2%
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto 0.2% 0.9% 1.3% 4.6% 5.8% 10.1% 14.3% 20.5% 26.1% 16.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.