Race 9B

cary-price

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chris Kiener 54.0% 28.7% 12.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Nemeth 16.6% 26.5% 33.3% 16.0% 6.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Lively 20.4% 32.0% 30.1% 13.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
natalie dugan 2.4% 4.3% 7.1% 24.8% 24.3% 19.9% 10.5% 4.8% 1.6% 0.3%
Catherine Ferrey 1.9% 1.4% 4.2% 8.8% 13.2% 17.0% 20.8% 17.3% 11.9% 3.5%
Etain McKinney 2.4% 4.4% 7.0% 15.5% 22.6% 20.7% 14.4% 9.3% 3.2% 0.5%
Gretchen Evan 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 2.7% 5.5% 8.3% 12.7% 20.5% 27.5% 21.3%
Hosni Berker 0.8% 1.4% 3.9% 9.0% 14.8% 16.1% 20.9% 17.5% 11.7% 3.9%
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto 0.8% 0.5% 1.3% 3.7% 6.9% 11.5% 13.6% 18.7% 25.4% 17.6%
Ashley DiMarzo 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 2.2% 2.4% 4.4% 6.8% 11.9% 18.7% 52.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.