Race 10B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chris Kiener 54.5% 27.4% 12.1% 5.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Ferrey 1.0% 2.3% 3.7% 7.6% 12.4% 17.9% 20.7% 17.2% 12.9% 4.3%
Lillian Nemeth 16.4% 24.1% 34.6% 18.1% 5.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Lively 20.0% 33.1% 30.7% 12.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
natalie dugan 3.1% 6.0% 8.2% 21.7% 26.0% 17.6% 10.6% 4.8% 1.8% 0.2%
Etain McKinney 2.7% 4.4% 5.7% 17.2% 20.7% 21.9% 14.1% 9.9% 3.0% 0.4%
Hosni Berker 0.9% 1.3% 2.3% 8.6% 14.6% 18.3% 21.7% 16.9% 12.0% 3.4%
Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 4.1% 7.8% 11.0% 13.1% 21.3% 23.6% 16.8%
Gretchen Evan 0.8% 0.2% 1.1% 3.1% 6.4% 7.6% 12.9% 19.9% 25.6% 22.4%
Ashley DiMarzo 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 1.6% 2.7% 4.2% 6.8% 10.0% 21.1% 52.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.